We Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet

There are those who think the recent increase in firings and chaos at the White House is a symptom of Trump feeling the heat from Mueller’s investigations. This may be the case. It is true that Mueller has been working his way up the food chain apparently flipping people and finding things that had been hidden. His team is reported to be among the best in the business as unraveling complex white crime cases and it should not be forgotten that Mueller was the man who brought down the ‘Teflon Don,’ so the pressure on the Administration must be intense. Still, this is taking place in a fantastically favorable environment.

A major news organization is dedicated to defending the administration, many of the ‘Never Trumpers’ writers from before the election have now climbed aboard defending the administration, the President’s approval rating floor remains in the high 30’s to low 40 despite the speed and intensity of the chaos. And yet we are told that the man at the center of it rages at staff, lashes out on social media, and generally reacts as a person in a siege who has no hope of relief.

People, it may get a lot worse.

One aspect of the environment that I did not mention was a favorable congress. Both house are controlled by the President’s party and have run a successful campaign of interference on his behalf. With the coming elections later this year the Democratic Party may very well take control of the House and less likely but not as unlikely as historically viewed, they could even gain the Senate. (That is a very long shot and for the moment let’s assume the GOP retains the upper chamber.)

Not only would Trump lose the friendly interference from a GOP House, but the Democratic committees would undoubtedly launch intense investigation of their own, investigation backed by subpoena powers. Should the Muller investigation reveal unquestionable evidence of crimes by people close to Trump or Trump himself he will lose the support of the GOP elected members as they cut their losses to save themselves.

I think that 2019 is going to be a very dangerous year. It is the year we will see Trump faced with threats from all sides, court cases proceeding along that may force his depositions, and as it has throughout his life, all his money, all his bluster and all his bullying will not save him. Yet he will still retain command of the most powerful military on the planet, he will still have a Department of Justice that instructs it’s Federal Attorneys to seek the death penalty in drug cases whenever possible, and he will have proceeded along with the firing of ‘disloyal’ ‘deep state’ professionals.

We must go through this dangerous time.

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